Surveys are credible only to the leading contenders

Philippines
May 6, 2010 7:22pm CST
Only in the Philippines... Here, nobody loses in an election, they all claim that they were cheated. In surveys, those who have low rankings accuse opinion polls of rigging it. Don't they watch Numb3rs?! So Binay now believes the survey conducted by SWS because he is now tied with Mar. Loren does not believe them because she fell 12%. Will there ever be a survey acceptable to the candidates? Should we change pollsters or politicians? Should we ban opinion polls during elections?
8 responses
• Philippines
8 May 10
Data visualizations can swing either to help or to hinder; it depends on who is the beholder, so to speak. In this case, I don't really see enough evidence to say that the polls were "rigged" only that it signals different kinds of reactions from people. I'd like to believe that these research companies would still like to hold on to their jobs, hence I am more inclined to say that they're just doing their job - no rigging was done. There will always be a leading and losing candidate based on the polls. It's a different issue altogether though when it comes to media. Data, as objective as it is, can still be distorted depending on who is presenting it. How it's interpreted can also be skewed for someone's agenda. I'm more for controlling how *media* presents surveys rather than lambasting the research companies for their work.
• Philippines
9 May 10
I have to agree with you here. Math is objective. Give it numbers and it will calculate. The problem is with the interpretation of the data and the reaction of the candidates. If it does not agree with their own perceptions, they immediately come out and attack the math. It would have been a lot better if they learned from the numbers. I did catch Mar Roxas who, after learning that his ratings fell by 12% and is now tied with Binay, accepted the results and concluded that he became complacent and focused on Noynoy's campaign. I thought that was sportsmanlike of him.
@ckyera (17261)
• Philippines
7 May 10
lol! but that's true! haha it only implies that they don't know how to accept defeat. no wonder there's no unity in our government and they just keep on bombarding each other even after election...coz instead of supporting the winning candidate, they will just be busy looking for mistake from them, criticizing them and looking for ways to kick them out of the power! huh! usually they just believe on what they want to believe, they all believe that they should be the winner! we cannot ban the opinion polls coz they will say that its their right to do so...haha and if you stop it they will say that you are killing their freedom... i think what we just do is not to believe much in these surveys, just be wise and don't let these surveys influenced us on whom to vote.
• Philippines
9 May 10
I know its pathetically funny how our politicians just cannot accept defeat. In their miting de avance, they all declared themselves as winner. Come May 11, we will have five presidents. Maybe we should just parcel out the presidents to these politicians... Personally, I think we should take this surveys with a grain of salt. The problem with the candidates is that although they have no qualms about commissioning a survey, they discredit it when the results are not to their liking. They should at least try to learn from it.
• Philippines
7 May 10
Yes. Ban polls. I think it helps in dictating who should be voted rather than just letting the people know the candidates' standing.
• Philippines
7 May 10
Banning election polls is not the last option. True that surveys somehow affect the people's mind but let's put to consideration that some of these polls are kinda' manipulated in a way. But the important thing that we should bear in our minds these coming election is choosing the best set of candidates whom we believe will bring progress and change to our country's sufferings.
@emdyey09 (264)
• Philippines
7 May 10
BAN IT! It's useless when nobody believes it. It's just a waste of money. Nobody sees credibility on any surveys. I tried asking that here in mylot and nobody actually believes in surveys so what's the use. It's just misleading!
@ybong007 (6658)
• Philippines
7 May 10
The only solution i can think of is to ban poll surveys to be announced on radio or TV. Candidates my hire the services of these survey groups but they can only use it for their own use. Announcing the outcome of a survey should be prohibited. Through this, the voting public will do their own research and will no longer rely on the survey on who to vote for. We can avoid the band wagon effect and at the same time, no poll survey will be accused of trending.
• Philippines
7 May 10
Actually, it's obvious the writing is on the wall. We'll have a yellow president and a blue vice president come mid afternoon June 30, 2010. The lead is insurmountable but that won't stop people such as myself (and you) to vote for the ones who we believe has the capacity to lead the nation. It's not about winning right now, it's about proving a point and making a stand. Teodoro is my president and Fernando is my vice.
• Philippines
7 May 10
That is life TheADvocate, there is a winner and others are cheated. And if you are failing the Survey then the survey is not credible. I, personally do not believe in Survey. But some commoners do believe that. No surveys will dictate whom I will choose this coming election. Our attitude when it comes to election like this has with us eversince, and we never grow from that. About surveys, I do not believe they conduct any of it. However we do not have a control if they conduct a surveys since that is there job. And this is a free country, everyone is entitled for their opinions. What we have to do is to do our part this coming election as a people of this country. I really wish there are no killings. People don't have to stake their life for such candidates, or be a victims of dirty politics.