sign in • sign up
web | myLot | discussions | blogs | news | photos
homeinterestsdiscussionsblogsnewsmessages friendsphotosearningsmyLot

sponsors
Hugh Downs Reports
Little known heart attack symptom many people tragically ignore.
www.bottomlinesecrets.com

$20,000+ Unsecured Debt? Get Debt Relief
Cut Debt 50% w/o Loans. Be Debt Free 12-30mo w/ Low Monthly Payment.
www.TotalDebtFreedomNow.com

Economy Areaguide
Your Economy Areaguide for Your Economy.
elkcreekva.areaguides.net

March trade deficit drops by bigger-than-expected amount email this discussion to a friend?

By MARTIN CRUTSINGER
AP Economics Writer
 
3 months ago

WASHINGTON (AP) - The U.S. trade deficit narrowed sharply in March as demand for imports fell by the largest amount since the last recession was ending. Analysts forecast that trade would continue to be one of the economy's few bright spots this year.


The March deficit totaled $58.2 billion, down 5.7 percent from February, the Commerce Department reported Friday. It was a much larger improvement than had been expected.


The smaller deficit was driven by a 2.9 percent drop in imports, which reflected widespread weakness in demand as consumers, battered by a severe housing slump, a credit crisis and soaring gasoline prices, cut back on their purchases of both domestic goods and imports. It marked the biggest one-month decline in imports since December 2001, when the country was struggling to emerge from the last recession.


Many analysts believe the country has fallen into another recession, although the better-than-expected trade performance prompted some economists to project that growth will be revised up from the barely discernible 0.6 percent rate reported last week to a slightly more respectable 1.1 percent rate for the first three months of this year.


That could mean the country will be able to avoid a full-blown downturn, although growth at that level would still be viewed as a so-called growth recession in which the economy does not expand fast enough to prevent unemployment from rising.


Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com, said he still believed the current slowdown would be ruled a recession because growth will dip into negative territory in the current quarter.


"I still believe this is a recession and I think ultimately at the end of the day, it will be labeled as one," he said. He said, however, that export growth will continue to cushion the drag from housing and other weak sectors.


On Wall Street, stocks ended the week with a big decline as investors grappled with continued turmoil in the credit market and surging energy prices. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 120.90 points Friday to close at 12,745.88.


Imports totaled $206.7 billion in March, down $6.1 billion from the February level, a drop led by a 5.9 percent decrease in America's foreign oil bill. The amount of petroleum shipped into the country declined although the average price for a barrel of imported crude shot up to a record $89.85. With oil prices climbing this week to a new trading high above $126 per barrel, the March dip in oil imports was expected to be temporary.


Exports, which have been one of the few strong points in this period of weakness, dipped 1.7 percent in March to $148.5 billion, but that was still the second-highest level on record. For the first three months of this year, exports were up 17.6 percent over the same period a year ago.


Exports have supported half of the growth that has occurred in the economy over the past year and that is expected to continue as American farmers and manufacturers keep benefiting from a weaker dollar, which makes their goods cheaper on overseas markets.


"Exports are the strongest part of the U.S. economy," said Frank Vargo, vice president for international economic affairs at the National Association of Manufacturers.


The politically sensitive deficit with China dropped by 12.4 percent to $16.1 billion in March, the smallest level in two years, as U.S. exports to China climbed to the second highest level on record, led by sales of medical testing equipment and computer chips. At the same time, imports of Chinese products dropped sharply, reflecting lower demand for clothes, textiles and toys.


Last year, the deficit dropped to $708.5 billion, the first improvement after five straight years of record highs, and economists forecast further improvement this year. Administration critics contend the deficits remain at debilitating levels and since Bush took office have contributed to the loss of more than 3 million manufacturing jobs. They say the Bush administration is failing to protect American workers from unfair foreign trade practices such as China's currency policies.


Democrats hope to make trade an issue in the upcoming battles for the White House and control of Congress. But Commerce Secretary Carlos Gutierrez said Friday that the high level of U.S. exports showed the Democrats' decision to block a vote on a free trade deal with Colombia was shortsighted.


He said the administration still hoped to win approval of free trade deals with Colombia, Panama and South Korea before Bush leaves office. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., has said lawmakers will not take up the Colombia deal until the administration signals a willingness to go farther in addressing Americans' economic needs.


"We don't like this idea of using an ally as a bargaining chip," Gutierrez said in an interview with The Associated Press, predicting that the economy will receive a boost as the first of 130 million economic stimulus payments make their way to U.S. households.


The Treasury Department reported Friday that since the Internal Revenue Service began making direct deposits on April 28 followed with mass check mailings this week, 29.9 million payments have been made totaling $27.2 billion.



tags:  economy, economy getting better
 
1. myLot reputation of 94/100. alindahaw (635)   3 months ago

This is really good news. I hope things will start getting better soon. With the sharp increase in fule prices, life has not really been easy lately. Prices of commodities have gone up sharply too with the weakening of the dollar. I hope these guys are correct when they say that we may be able to avoid a full economic downturn.

 
sponsors
Economy Areaguide
Your Economy Areaguide for Your Economy.
elkcreekva.areaguides.net

ISA (International Strategic Analysis)
ISA is a leading provider of international economic forecasting and analysis, country intelligence and international business support services for leading businesses throughout the world.
www.isa-world.com

other economic figures

Summary Box: Indicators stronger than expected

THE LATEST: A jump in military spending helped boost new orders for big-ticket durable goods by a surprisingly strong 0.8 percent in June while new home sales dropped by a smaller-than-expected 0.6...

Started in economic figures • 16 hours ago • 0 responses
Tags: economy summary box
Banks step up Fed borrowing, Wall Street passes

Banks stepped up their borrowing over the past week from the Federal Reserve's emergency lending program, while Wall Street firms didn't draw such loans.

Started in economic figures • 1 day ago • 0 responses
Tags: federal reserve, credit crisis, finance
Single-family building dips to slowest in 17 years

A beat-the-deadline rush to file permits for apartment construction in New York City lifted housing starts to unexpectedly high levels in June, but it was no cause for rejoicing. Construction of...

Started in economic figures • 6 responses • Last response by us2owls (0) • 1 week ago
Tags: economy, rising inflation, gas prices, gas prcie, opinion
A shopper walks past a display of Hannah Montana tee shirts at a North Little Rock, Ark., Wal-Mart Store Inc., store Wednesday, July 9, 2008. Wal-Mart Stores says same-store sales in June beat expectations, helped by sales of groceries and a boost from tax-rebate checks. The company is raising its guidance based on the strong results. (AP Photo/Danny Johnston)
Americans eating less fish

Americans are eating slightly less seafood, despite continuing reports of its health benefits.

Started in economic figures • 1 week ago • 0 responses
Tags: seafood
New layoff filings jump as companies retrench

The government reports that the number of newly laid off people filing claims for unemployment benefits bolted past 400,000 last week as companies trimmed their work forces to cope with a slowing...

Started in economic figures • 3 days ago • 0 responses
Tags: jobless claims