IRAN today = FRANCE 1914 ?
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
United States
November 12, 2007 5:55pm CST
There are demographic similarities between the France of 1914 and Iran of today. In 1914 in France, WWI was the result. What are the odds the same demographics could lead to a war for Iran today? Iran today, is it like France in 1914? Decide for yourself.
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/IK13Ak01.html
So, what do you think? Could the shifting age of the Iranian population, so similar to what happened in France in the early 1900's tempt Iran into a war?
1 person likes this
2 responses
@academic2 (7000)
• Uganda
14 Nov 07
Yeah I saw a hard fighting Iran under their new leader-he is so determined to make his mark that I feel he can do anything to bring the world into the brink of war. How many times did he deny the genocide of Jews by the Germans?America is a super power today, and I know mankind is so obsessed with power that even the much humble Iran today would like to be a super power tomorrow and to be one, they surely must prove to Americans in policy opposition and decisive battles that they are a greater and mightier power than America. I agree with you perspective completely redyellowblackdog
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
• United States
14 Nov 07
Well, thank you then.
Given Iran's lack of accomplishment and ability to be influential in any area in the world arena it is mind boggling they think of themselves as a potential world leader, but you are right. That's how they apparently see themselves.
@Destiny007 (5805)
• United States
13 Nov 07
Of course it could, and from the other link that I saw in this linked article, it seems there are in the neighborhood of 25 million employment age Muslim males with nothing to do.
The question is, who will Iran decide to make war on if they do decide that would be in their best interest?
We already know that they are eagerly waiting for the US to leave Iraq so that Iran can move in, so that would be one good possibility.
I think anything Iran would fight would be in it's immediate neighborhood, most likely on either border or both.
I also noticed that Iran only has about thirty years where it would have enough manpower to put into battle, and after that Iran most likely will be in decline as a real threat because of the lack of military age males.
So the short of it is that Iran is going to be a threat for a few decades, and then it will merely be an old dog without much bite.
I also noticed that the Muslim population actually is expected to decline as more women become educated, and this is a good thing as well, as far as the radicals are concerned.
I do think that given enough time, the Western influences will see and end to the radicals as the younger generation rejects the violent aspects of Islam, and embraces the freedoms that the West provides.
1 person likes this
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
• United States
13 Nov 07
Yes, and I think it helps to explain the otherwise unexplainable USA policy towards Iran. President Bush seems to be waiting them out over the long term while trying to be careful not to radicalize the next generation.
I completely agree too, that as the woman of Iran get more rights and education, things will get better.
When you get more of the facts, more things are understandable. Time is not on the side of a war-like Iran.



