Todays (10/29/08) TRUE Gallop Poll Results show ONLY 2 to 3% in favor of Obama
@whiteheather39 (24403)
United States
October 29, 2008 2:07pm CST
I believe the Gallup polls to have an excellent record of accuracy and integrity for the past 18 Presidential Elections. I do NOT believe all these other fly by night polls showing such large 10% margins between McCain and Obama. I do believe today's results of 2 to 3% ahead for Obama. I will be interested to see if his multi million dollars 1/2 hour ad tonight will change things. Your opinion?
Gallup Daily: Obama Maintains Edge Over McCain NEW October 29, 2008
Barack Obama continues to hold an edge over John McCain in Gallup Poll Daily tracking, up by 49% to 46% using the traditional likely voter model and 51% to 44% using the expanded model.
http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx
Gallup Presidential Election Polls Accuracy from 1936 through 2004
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/preferences.php
2 people like this
5 responses
@Guardian208 (1095)
• United States
29 Oct 08
I don't put a lot of value on polls, but they are an indicator. Here is what I've found.
www.realclearpolitics.com uses an average of all the major polls, including Gallop. Right now they have Obama leading by 5.9%. Of the 10 polls they use, all of them are between 3% and 7% but one, the Pew. Pew has Obama up by 15%. If we assume that Pew is flawed in some way and eliminate it from the calculation, the average becomes 4.78% lead for Obama. If you eliminate the top and the bottom like we were taught in school, it becomes 5%.
So in my mind the truth is probably closer to 5%.
@ClarusVisum (2163)
• United States
29 Oct 08
The state polls are the ones that tell the real story, and all the electoral maps still have McCain about 100 EVs behind.
But please, feel free to act like Obama's barely in the lead--if anything, it will spur his suppoters to work harder than ever.
See you in November. :)
@whiteheather39 (24403)
• United States
29 Oct 08
To be quite honest I really do not care what Obama's or McCain's supporters do at this late stage as I do not think it will make any difference.
@Lakota12 (42600)
• United States
30 Oct 08
well that was a very sneaky thing to do. For ya know Mc Cain cant and doest have the money to do one of his own.
and Obama was just here and coming back this is making me sick!
and to go by the news here on early vote the media is saying Obama is ahead! chit!
@irisheyes (4370)
• United States
30 Oct 08
I think it matters more what is happening in the state polls. This election will be decided in a few key battleground states and losing one or two of those states will spell the end for one of the candidates.
@eaforeman6 (8979)
• United States
29 Oct 08
It is going to be a very close election. It seems to get tighter everyday. Do you really believe what these polls say? I am not so sure that I do.
