who will take this year world cup and why?

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i think more chances are going with australia then must be there india then west indies sauth africa reasons because australia is in good form as they were in last world cup but india are not in good form still they are strong contender because their game planning is best and they can improve their game from any point because of their home country west indies can win and all after that there is only one who never went to final but reach 3 times in semis