Who will attack the other First, China or the United States?

@brettbum (304)
United States
January 23, 2007 1:35am CST
China seems to be ascending rapidly and they are taking no prisoners in their economic total warfare tactics and in their theft of technologies from countries around the world. They have recently demonstrated their military technological capabilities by shooting down a satellite, demonstrating that they have at least some technology that could cause serious problems for the United States. Google Maps users even recently found secret submarine technology that indicates an aggressive posture by China. Will they try to prove their superiority in the 2012 Olympics (like Nazi Germany) and then start to attack neighboring countries like Taiwan, India, Korea and Japan and then the US or will the US possibly make a pre-emptive (non-nuclear) attack on China first? What do you think? They have a taste for democracy, they are trying to seal strategic deals with various oil producing countries around the world and they have a mobile population of 250 million people (these are people that technically have no home, but do have jobs. That could rapidly be converted to one large and skilled invasion force. Separately should Siberia be worried about recent Chinese immigrants working the land at wage rates far lower than your average Russian is willing to accept?
1 person likes this
2 responses
@jasonsian (231)
• Malaysia
27 Jan 07
I'm a Malaysian Chinese. As I'm a chinese myself, I know what Chinese wants the most. What they want will certainly not be war. What Chinese government need is more development to their current economy and technology. Although China may attack Taiwan, but it depends on Taiwan itself. The Chinese government actually gave them 2 choices. One is the peaces, and another is war. Even for me myself, I also think that Taiwan is part of China and they should choose the peaceful way.
@brettbum (304)
• United States
27 Jan 07
I hope China doesn't want war as well and feel that the US does not either. Unfortunately, there is a significant amount at stake strategically speaking if Taiwan moves one way or another. Things are fair, safe and balanced if Taiwan remains separate and neutral, if it joins into a greater Chinese empire once again then it could cause problems in the region for many countries including the US but even more so Malaysia. It would also set an ugly precedent for Mongolia and Korea, but that is a bit of a tangent. As China becomes powerful again, it is natural to want to flex that power, but attempting to take on Taiwan like an inheritance or birth right might create the same types of problems that occurrs when a teen ager or young man starts to flex their muscles for the first time, bumping into things and not appreciating the new power of their strenght and even worse not understanding their weaknesses. To make matters more complicated the absorbtion of Hong Kong back into China has benefited China dramatically, but has been extremely problematic for Hong Kong and especially for business in Hong Kong. Its not likely that a take over of Taiwan by force or intimidation would even go half as well and that would destroy business value in Taiwan and harm potential new business options for people doing business on the mainland.
• United States
26 Jan 07
In all honesty, no matter what the U.S. does if they react first we will be damned by all nations again. Not that I PERSONALLY care... I think they could all go screeeeew themseleves! LOL But no matter what, if we attack first we will have a much louder and stronger voice of other nations out there yelling. If we strike back it won't be so harsh of a backlash.
@brettbum (304)
• United States
27 Jan 07
Those points are all very solid. I harbor the suspicion that in such a war not too many people are going to be worried about the war of words, but I could be wrong.