Why it is a good thing that the weatherman is always wrong

@Rollo1 (16676)
Boston, Massachusetts
November 24, 2015 5:20am CST
It was cold last night. Cold enough to slip that thermostat indicator above 60 for a few minutes, just to take the chill off the bedroom. And it's cold this morning. When it's very cold, I like to try to impress The Boy with hard numbers, hoping to convince him to dress appropriately. So, I just checked the forecast and it says that today's high temp will be 44 F and today's low temp will be 27 F. That low of 27 sounds cold. Yet, the temperature right now is 20 F. So, the temperature right now is lower than the forecasted low and both of these numbers are displayed on the weather website right next to one another. Because, if you're a weather forecaster, you can do that. You can predict a lowest-possible temperature that is higher than the current temperature and still keep your job. I thought wouldn't it be great if the weatherman actually got the weather forecast right? ] Just think, you would know for sure if you needed a sweater or an umbrella or a snow shovel. But after some consideration, I decided that we are lucky that the forecast is usually wrong. Think of how many times the television weatherman has hyped a coming blizzard and in the end, all that fell were a few, wet snowflakes? Think of all the floods that never happened. Think of the long-term forecasts? What if some of those ever came true? Occasionally, they underestimate a storm, but on the whole, the weather guy gives us the most exciting weather forecast he can think of, given the meteorological conditions. And we are lucky that his exaggerated outcomes never materialize. Today's optimism will have to be overlooked. I have to remember all the hurricanes they predicted that never came near us and all the blizzards that turned out to be rain. Are you ever glad that the weatherman was completely wrong?
25 people like this
27 responses
@LadyDuck (502573)
• Italy
24 Nov 15
I am glad that the weatherman was completely wrong today, we did not get the announced snow. I hope he will be wrong tomorrow too. The coldest city of Switzerland (La Brévine) las night reached the low temperature of -16.6 F (-27 Celsius). This place is called the Swiss Siberia.
2 people like this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
Brrrr. I didn't know you had a Swiss Siberia.
1 person likes this
@LadyDuck (502573)
• Italy
26 Nov 15
@Rollo1 This is how they call this village, it's always freezing cold in winter.
@PainsOnSlate (21845)
• Canada
24 Nov 15
I don't pay much attention unless I'm going to be traveling or camping. My husband plans his day around the weather report, he know what he can and can't do by listing to that exaggerator on the TV and radio. I figure every day is a crap shoot when it comes to weather, I just go with the flow. And yes, I am glad when the weatherman goofs.
2 people like this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
I check for the temps just to try to get the kids to put on the right clothing. Unless it's going to be a big storm, I don't mind the daily changes in weather.
1 person likes this
• Preston, England
24 Nov 15
I rarely take notice of the forecasts and just look out the window on any given day - the view right now is wretched
1 person likes this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
Sorry to hear that. It's a bit grey here, too.
1 person likes this
@marlina (154103)
• Canada
24 Nov 15
Yes, I am very glad that the weather person is wrong when they predicted a really bad storm.
2 people like this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
And when they don't predict a bitg storm, that's when we get one
@simone10 (54180)
• Louisville, Kentucky
25 Nov 15
Yes, all the time in the spring and summer. I am scared of tornadoes and I am always glad and relieved when they are wrong, which is most of the time.
1 person likes this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
I would be worried too. We very rarely have a tornado watch here and it almost always turns out to be a false alarm.
1 person likes this
@simone10 (54180)
• Louisville, Kentucky
29 Nov 15
@Rollo1 We don't have too many where we live right now either.
• United States
24 Nov 15
The weathermen here are usually correct. It is easier to see what is coming along the coast, I guess. Sometimes something comes faster or slower, and amounts of rain will be right, but fall a little to the north or south, but that's because timing and upper level winds are variable. Since I have lived here most of my life, I am always able to figure out the weather from what is predicted (reading the maps helps).
1 person likes this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
We are on the coast and the ocean is always heavily involved in the forecast. But perhaps the North Atlantic is more unpredictable than the Pacific
1 person likes this
• United States
26 Nov 15
@Rollo1 Probably. I think it has something to do with both air and ocean currents.
@zebra2222 (5268)
• United States
25 Nov 15
Most of the time weathermen are right in the short run. It's more unpredictable a few days past the current day.
1 person likes this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
Like out to 2050 when we are all going to die from global warming?
@scheng1 (24649)
• Singapore
26 Nov 15
I think the weathermen were right when they viewed the satellite, but somehow the wind blew it all away. It will not always happens like this. Be glad of the good weather, and enjoy.
1 person likes this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
A good weatherman should know which way the wind blows, shouldn't he?
@sofssu (23660)
25 Nov 15
I am so happy that the weather man is wrong today. .. because after twenty days of saying the same things the said they same thing again .. 'more rain expected'.. and for a change its hot and sunny.. They always go by the trend I guess..
1 person likes this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
I am very glad you finally got some sun. I hope it stays for a while.
@valmnz (17095)
• New Zealand
25 Nov 15
I'm not a farmer, so yes, I agree with you. But I think the farmers would prefer to be ready for the worst possible scenario.
1 person likes this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
My father was a farmer back in the days when they didn't have su ch fancy forecasting tools. I wonder how he managed?
1 person likes this
• United States
24 Nov 15
Unfortunately the weatherman said it will be cold with frost and he was absolutely correct.
1 person likes this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
Oh, he was the one. I knew there had to be an exception to the rule.
1 person likes this
• United States
26 Nov 15
@Rollo1 He gets it right twice out of ten!
@Inlemay (17712)
• South Africa
25 Nov 15
Our weatherman is always wrong - when its 30 its normally 38, Celsius that is- hot
1 person likes this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
Even 30 C is too warm for me.
1 person likes this
@boiboing (13147)
• Northampton, England
25 Nov 15
I don't think the forecasts are TOO wrong these days.
1 person likes this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
I like to go to the hourly forecast and see just how far off they have it.
@T_gray (7772)
• Salina, Kansas
25 Nov 15
I'm in Kansas where we say if you don't like the weather just wait an hour and it will change. The weather man has a hard time getting the weather right here. But I must say they are starting to get better.
1 person likes this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
I think there are only about 3 places on earth where they don't have that saying. Weather is changeable, it can't be 100% predicted.
@Asylum (47893)
• Manchester, England
24 Nov 15
It could be problem if the correct weather report was given because it would catch us unawares. I have never understood how someone can study the subject for many years and then use computers with specially written software to process data from satellites around the globe and get tomorrow's weather totally wrong. You would do better to ask the local farmer.
1 person likes this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
You're right. If they were suddenly right all the time, we wouldn't know what to expect.
@slund2041 (3314)
• United States
25 Nov 15
It got down to 28 last night or this morning rather. It did warm up to 59 today though.
1 person likes this
@BelleStarr (61463)
• United States
24 Nov 15
Yes actually I am most of the time. Last week were were expecting some bad weather on vacation according to their predictions and we actually had wonderful weather so ... glad they are inept!!
1 person likes this
@Rollo1 (16676)
• Boston, Massachusetts
26 Nov 15
It's nice to be able to be glad they are wrong.
1 person likes this
• United States
26 Nov 15
This week so far the weatherman has been spot on. Heading to 65 today.
1 person likes this
@poehere (15123)
• French Polynesia
25 Nov 15
Oh yes. At times we see the satellite images and see the grey skies coming our way. Then all of a sudden a gust of wind someone out in the middle of the ocean blows them away. It is nice when they are wrong and I have found out here on the islands they can be wrong a lot.
1 person likes this
@Plethos (13718)
• United States
25 Nov 15
around here the weatherman is never wrong, its always sunny in southern ca. even when it rains.
1 person likes this