World population if there had never been wars throughout history and today?
By James72
@James72 (26790)
Australia
January 23, 2009 3:22am CST
I was watching Kingdom of Heaven last night on TV and it got me thinking. Thousands died in the battle in that movie. Then you consider the great World Wars, wars in Vietnam, Croatia, Korea, Iraq, Afghanistan etc..... And this is in recent times! There are also many, many battles that have taken place throughout the world dating back thousands and thousands of years.
So what if none of these wars had EVER existed? Where would the world population be today then? We are currently at close to 8 billion people and I have tried to somehow work out in my head where the population may stand today if this were the case. Surely it would be at least double this amount when you take into account future generations etc?
War is horrific, war is pain, wart is suffering and war is devastating and cruel; but imagine the world today if there had never been one? Imagine the sheer population size that would exist and the by-products of the same? In many ways, wars and the deaths associated with them may have actually ensured the longevity of the human species!
Any opinions?
6 people like this
9 responses
@mimpi1911 (25464)
• India
25 Jan 09
What about the natural calamities James? What about the nature's cruelest devastation and what about the increasing irreversible diseases? Its the cycle of the nature, the divine intervention for some that decides on this. The ecosystem has its own way to include and exclude creatures. Without wars, animosities and heinous crimes the world would have undefined diseases that would keep the medical scientists tear their hairs.
Or else, with so much population the rule of the thumb would have been different. Survival of the fittest and struggle for existence would have been reinforced may be in a different way. For I believe there would have been a countable few who would still believe in the nuances of religion. Religion being the root of all wars.
1 person likes this

@mimpi1911 (25464)
• India
25 Jan 09
I thought, I pretty much expressed your views in my response above! When I mentioned Darwinism, I essentially harped on the struggle for existence and survival of the fittest, which are but what you had to say there as in the widening gap between the poor and affluent. Most wars on earth were executed in the name of religion. There shouldn't be any doubt. The peasants seethe against the extortion of the upper class who in turn blame their fates on God!
1 person likes this
@James72 (26790)
• Australia
25 Jan 09
Nature has unquestionably played a majority role in "culling" the human species throughout our existence. The main difference being though, that the earth's activities are naturally cyclical as you have said, yet our own collective actions are very unnatural in parallel. Increased population means further pressure on resource availability and therefore increased scarcity, poverty and famine. An onset of these issues does of course raise incidences of disease. Greed will also reign supreme as the rich fight tooth and nail to amass all they can and take survival of the fittest to an indescribably evil level. Then the gap between the rich and poor widens even further and so forth. It's a negative domino effect to say the least! And how can war not arise from any of this? (And religion hasn't even come into it yet!)
But for the sake of the discussion, we will assume that even with ALL of these points AND religion, war is an unknown entity that will never surface. In this case, I agree with you wholeheartedly that other factors will contribute significantly to keep our numbers controlled somewhat.

@dawnald (85137)
• Shingle Springs, California
23 Jan 09
Maybe, optimistically, if there were no wars, we could all put our heads together and figure out solutions to all our problems, including overpopulation. But hardly anybody's even willing to talk about it, much less admit what a serious problem it is.
1 person likes this
@James72 (26790)
• Australia
24 Jan 09
I am sure there would be many more great minds in the world, but on the flip side, the level of poverty and lack of resources would increase exponentially as well. I can't help but think that nature would kick in and work towards decreasing our numbers anyway. And you are right in saying that overpopulation etc is an infrequently discussed or acted upon issue. At least not to the levels it SHOULD be acknowledged. We are just not forward thinking enough and we will suffer as a result you would think.
1 person likes this
@dawnald (85137)
• Shingle Springs, California
24 Jan 09
Just read a great editorial about it in the November 2007 Analog (I'm a wee bit behind the times). It's a sensitive issue. Many people really don't believe it's a problem and many others don't want to be guilty of going around and telling people how many children they should have (a la China). One would hope that if economic conditions around the world improve, people would voluntarily have fewer children. But even if that were to happen, I suspect it will get far worse long before it gets better.
1 person likes this
@James72 (26790)
• Australia
24 Jan 09
People tend to get all caught up in their own realities and never really consider the collective results of their actions or the longer term future effects. It is only when we are affected personally that we seem to stand up and take notice. What is troubling most of all, is that statistically, it's the people that can LEAST afford to have large families etc that are having them! There are so many factors that contribute to this scenario too. Lack of education, the belief of strength in numbers, the welfare structures in some countries that incentify people to have more kids..... It's endless really.
China has sought a resolution in the past, but the issue is in policing a policy like this. If we can't even educate the masses, then how can we possibly monitor something like this effectively? Especially in third world countries. In many cases, children born in these regions are persona non grata and don't even formally exist! We will pay the ultimate price, no question. 

1 person likes this

@alokn99 (5717)
• India
23 Jan 09
In theory yes a scary picture this is.
But look at it from a different perspective. Why do wars happen ? People divided on pwer, money, religious causes, basic needs and so on. Nature has it's ways of setting right the balance. If people were not united in thir own groups, the wild elements of nature or disease may have got the better of them. When you get them in groups they try to anhilate each other. If its going to peace all around, and no war, no killing..it's utopian in a sense, but the population part though sure would be scary.
1 person likes this

@James72 (26790)
• Australia
24 Jan 09
I agree that nature would probably create a balance even without deaths caused by warfare. Call it survival of the fittest, greed or any other term I guess, but it is what it is and as long as we are free thinking, religiously motivated, capitalistic and many other things, we will be plagued by bloodshed for eternity. Take all of that out of the equation, and massive overpopulation would undoubtedly cause disease, famine and God knows what else and our numbers would STILL suffer. It's a catch 22 really.
1 person likes this

@balasri (26537)
• India
24 Jan 09
You got a point there.I too used to think in these lines.God almighty has His own ways of culling the human population.Natural disasters like Tsunamis, Hurricanes,floods,earth quakes, volcano eruptions and landslides.I think war is also a tool that is implanted in some minds by the God Himself.God is waiting for the day to make His people use the atomic weapons when things go out of control I think.
1 person likes this

@James72 (26790)
• Australia
24 Jan 09
Ain't free will a wonderful thing bala!
God created man in his image and gave us the tools to live our lives the right way; yet we are consumed as a collective people by the complete opposite of his intentions. God created the earth and all that is on it, we will be the ones to ultimately destroy each other as a living part of it. And the earth will continue on without us. The disasters have been rightfully called "natural" by you and are the result of the earth's ecosystem doing it's thing. Our own actions are as unnatural as you can get! How can we possibly expect to exist for eternity when we as a people do everything we possibly can to go against the flow? 
God created man in his image and gave us the tools to live our lives the right way; yet we are consumed as a collective people by the complete opposite of his intentions. God created the earth and all that is on it, we will be the ones to ultimately destroy each other as a living part of it. And the earth will continue on without us. The disasters have been rightfully called "natural" by you and are the result of the earth's ecosystem doing it's thing. Our own actions are as unnatural as you can get! How can we possibly expect to exist for eternity when we as a people do everything we possibly can to go against the flow? 

@riyasam (16556)
• India
23 Jan 09
i have not watched that movie,but,ya,if there were no wars,nature would find out some other means of eliminating its burden.is it only me or have you also noticed,the fertility rate has decreased.i find many couples with this problem(where the cause for infertility is not known)whereas in my grandparents time,such cases were rare.
1 person likes this

@SaintAnne (5453)
• United States
27 Jan 09
Don't wars happen partly because of overpopulation? Resources get less and lesser as the population increase therefore most countries start or fight wars under the disguise of morality and humanity but surely, one is aware of what other perks such war can garner.
1 person likes this
@James72 (26790)
• Australia
27 Jan 09
Yes they do in many cases. My question is very much flawed in that sense because taking war out of the equation and having population figures rise, will ultimately lead us all back to war again anyways! As for other perks of war, it's a multi-trillion dollar industry! If many countries spent even a fraction of what they spend on defence on more humanitarian causes, the world may be an entirely different place altogether.
@redyellowblackdog (10629)
• United States
24 Jan 09
If the old fashioned reliable population limiters of war and disease were conquered, there would still be that old reliable, FAMINE.
If earth's human population were to grow unchecked, there would be an excess of those unwilling or unknowledgable to grow food. We know what the result of that would be.
Today, there is only famine and hunger in the world due to faulty distribution systems (more than enough is grown), dysfunctional government whose rules impede farmers (price controls, taxes, collectivization, etc.), stupidity resulting in not planning ahead, and simple plain laziness.
Let the population grow unchecked and war would have to return as people fought for the too scarce food.
In short eliminating war is impossible. Eliminating war would create the conditions that would cause its return.
1 person likes this
@James72 (26790)
• Australia
24 Jan 09
Very treu RYBD. It's a catch 22 on so many levels. Population explosion in turn generates an environment of scarcity and a stronger force of those exploiting power and exercising greed to control and take advantage of the weak and hungry. Nations will never be happy with what they have and will always want more; faiths and political agendas will run even more rampant the more people there are in this world and this too will lead to disagreements and war at every turn. We are in essence our own worst enemies and arguably way past the point of no return when it comes to finding balance and equality between us all. There will always be some force at play that will contribute to the decimation of our species and I believe it's pretty much guaranteed that our time as a species will come to an end sooner than we all may think. The earth will then continue on it's merry way without us!
@riyasam (16556)
• India
23 Jan 09
i have not watched that movie,but,ya,if there were no wars,nature would find out some other means of eliminating its burden.is it only me or have you also noticed,the fertility rate has decreased.i find many couples with this problem(where the cause for infertility is not known)whereas in my grandparents time,such cases were rare.
1 person likes this
@James72 (26790)
• Australia
23 Jan 09
That's an interesting point riya. You are probably right that we would find ourselves self-regulating our numbers even without deaths from war etc. Maybe through disease, I don't know. As for the fertility rates, it is not something I was consciously aware of, no; but now that you have mentioned this aspect as well, I can't help but feel it is our own doing that has caused this. More than likely because of the air pollution we cause, artificial additives in food and many other things.
1 person likes this
@LittleMel (8742)
• Canada
23 Jan 09
I have a CD of that movie
without war, famine, plagues, natural disaster
world population can easily reach twice it is today
12 billions approx I don't think there will be enough resources to feed everyone
even now there isn't enough for 6 billions, water for example
people need to start using it wisely now



Call it a bad habit if you will..... Or we can maybe ponder on the "great minds think alike" angle? Either/or is fine by me. 






