Kim Jong IL has died.
By bostonphil
@bostonphil (4459)
United States
December 18, 2011 9:33pm CST
It is just coming across the wires that North Korea's brutal dictator, Kim Jon IL has died. South Korea is on high alert. No one knows what to expect -- what is going to happen next.
Kim Jong IL was brutal. The people of North Korea are starving, literally. There is not enough food. It is said that the whole country appears to be a cult.
His son was in preparation to succeed him but no one knows if the son has the skills to be a leader, however brutal. There may be conflict between the army and the son.
I wonder how mylotters in Asia are feeling about the situation. What do you think might happen?
2 responses
@knoodleknight18 (917)
• United States
19 Dec 11
Historically there are few cases where one leader is succeeded by a son who rules the same, especially if the father's rule was seen as tyrannical. Likely his son will take charge and make small changes if all goes well he may stay in power and N Korea will probably continue down a similar but likely more progressive path.
I doubt much will happen in the near future since the government structure didn't magically die with him.
@bostonphil (4459)
• United States
20 Dec 11
I think most analysts would agree with you. I have been watching the news regarding North Korea. Everyone is taking a deep breath and hoping for the best but no one knows what to expect.
North Korea is so backwards that they do not even have enough electricity. The people are cult like and starving.
There is so much for this country to gain just by "chilling out" one might say. Where did this paranoia and rigidity come from? Even their close friends, like China and Russia, are super relaxed when compared to North Korea.
@andy77e (5156)
• United States
19 Dec 11
Well it's hard to say. If you've noticed Cuba lately, Cuba is having a capitalist economic revolution. The government has removed bans on cell phones and other personal electronics. People can now buy automobiles, and can sell houses and apartments.
The country is growing their economy to the benefit of the entire population. No one dared think this could happen after so many years of Castro's brutal destruction. But Castro's son has pushed for a more open, free-market capitalist system, granted... slowly... but it's still happening.
Is it possible that Kim Jon Il's son will have a similar revolution in North Korea? Or could they start a war?
Well...
All socialist countries, refuse to accept that socialism does not work, and instead find someone to blame their failures on.
Cuba blames the US, claiming that our trade embargo ruined them (even though they trade with absolutely everyone else on the planet).
North Korea blames South Korea for their failed socialist system.
Similarly, Hugo Chavez in Venezuela, blames Columbia for their socialistic failures.
Cuba of course, can't possible mount an attack against the US, at least not without the US completely wiping out the entire countries government in a matter of days.
Venezuela tried to attack Columbia in July of 2010. But we sent troops to Columbia, and Hugo Chavez knew we'd wipe the floor with him if he did anything, and withdrew.
Here is where the situation is different. South Korea could be defeated by North Korea. Further, in the past, they have been very passive, and very appeasing to North Korea. (like the UK and Germany prior to WW2).
Moreover, North Korea sees South Korea as part of their rightful country. (kind of like China and Taiwan)
Whenever there is a power shift in a socialist system, the new leadership always tries to consolidate power to secure their position.
Hugo Chavez did this by instituting armed militias in Venezuela. Raul Castro has not had to because Castro shifted power to him while he was still alive.
Unfortunately, there are three possible successors to Kim Jong Il. With power divided, it is very possible that a power struggle could happen in North Korea, and one way to secure power... sadly... is to start a war. When war breaks out, people flock to whomever is in the front. (Hitler in Germany)
Consolidating power could be the driving force behind a new Korea conflict. Hopefully, they'll take the road of Raul Castro and instead open up the country and institute Capitalistic growth policies that will benefit the country, instead of kill of bunch of people.
Time will tell.
@bostonphil (4459)
• United States
19 Dec 11
It is going to be interesting to see what happens. No one knows. No one really knows what is going on in the country.
The country could become more repressive and militaristic or it could become more modern and relax some.
Obviously time will tell. I believe the news is calling North Korea a hermit country.

