Piles And Piles of Cash

@porwest (78759)
United States
April 9, 2020 8:24am CST
No doubt this whole Coronavirus pandemic has had a significant short term economic impact. Both in terms of the now unemployed due to certain businesses being shuttered during the crisis, and the lack of people's ability to spend money the same way that they were able to just before this crisis took hold. There is simply less money entering the economy and landing into the bank accounts of certain businesses, and certainly certain employees. However. There is still quite a significant amount of economic activity still occurring. And while there may be many people currently unemployed, those who are still able to work are still earning, and are potentially earning at levels that they may not have been before. Truckers are working around the clock. Nurses and other medical staff are working around the clock and being paid enormous bonuses to work extra shifts, plus making significant amounts of overtime. Retail workers like grocery store employees and department store employees are still at work and a lot of those people are also earning higher wages due to overtime and extra shifts. Some businesses are even paying bonuses to their employees for their extra work. For example, my wife works part time at a grocery store in the pharmacy, and she was paid a $250 bonus. Full time employees received a $500 bonus. There are stimulus checks coming to almost every American. And a lot of those stimulus checks will go into the hands of those who have not necessarily experienced a financial hardship due to Coronavirus. Consider that even if the current unemployment number is at 10 million, the workforce consists of 65% of the total US population which is about 325 million people. This means that 211.25 million people are still working and earning paychecks through this pandemic. Many of those people will receive something from the stimulus. On top of everything else, in the United States, it happens to be tax season. And that means that roughly 50% of the population will be receiving a refund of some amount or another. Folks, this is a ton of cash that is being stockpiled on the sidelines if for no other reason than discretionary spending is not as much of a possibility right now due to Coronavirus. This money must go somewhere, eventually. And the fact is, that it will go somewhere. And that somewhere is directly into the economy. Some will bolster their savings, no doubt. But many will not. What does this mean for the long term economic situation, at least as it applies to the United States? Jobs will return, and jobs will return in droves. Because while all this cash sitting on the sidelines is reinjected into the marketplace, someone will be needed to make the goods, provide the services, and man the businesses. I still stand firm that part of what makes this situation more plausible, that is, a very swift and fast recovery economically, is the fact that we were hit by this pandemic at a time when the economy was in the best shape it has ever been historically. That presents a solid foundation. It helped us to also avoid a much more devastating impact since the economy was doing so well just before this hit, that people actually had a little bit more money to perform a little bit of self-rescue when jobs began to be affected. We still have a bit of a long road ahead of us. No doubt about it. But I think the future, at least from an economical standpoint, looks extremely promising. You simply cannot convince me that all of these piles and piles of cash are just going to sit around collecting dust. It's got to go somewhere. And it will. As a result, we may actually come out of this whole thing even stronger than we were before.
8 people like this
7 responses
@JohnRoberts (109857)
• Los Angeles, California
9 Apr 20
All this depends upon length of time. As each week goes by the long term effect worsens. For example, if baseball cannot get going in the near future and the season is lost, that is devastating as those profits can never be recouped and will financially effect the sport next season. Most of that stimulus check is going to pay rent and utilities and not for goods.
3 people like this
@porwest (78759)
• United States
9 Apr 20
True. Some of the stimulus will go to intangibles such as rent and utilities, but those payments still contribute to substantial portions of the economy as a whole. As for sports, it IS important. Do not get me wrong. But it generally accounts for about 2,8% of the total economy. I DO have great concern that all the business that sports events generally supports on top of that gets hurt. I guess it will still be a wait and see thing. But I still generally see a lot of cash on the sidelines, and while it may not go into some industry, some other industry will be there to pick up some of the slack. On top of that, regarding sports, I wonder what the data shows from entire seasons or almost entire seasons that were lost due to labor disputes? I think baseball lost a season one year because they could not come to an agreement if I remember right. I could be wrong.
1 person likes this
@JohnRoberts (109857)
• Los Angeles, California
9 Apr 20
@porwest It's not just baseball but sports as a whole. The final 12 games of the NBA season gone and any playoffs in jeopardy. March Madness is toast and that is massive money. Hockey gone. Tennis, golf, and auto racing on hold. Worldwide soccer on hold. Olympics on hold. Kentucky Derby on hold. Not just one pro sport going through a labor dispute shut down. Then there's the entertainment industry. Not just one area shut down due to a labor dispute but everything. Can that comedy club reopen after weeks of closure and no revenue? Every little live theater and concert venue may not survive. All production down and that has a trickle down effect. A state like Nevada is severely affected with the casinos closed. No tax revenue and casino money basically funds everything in Nevada. The list of damage is endless and turning on the green light won't cure things. Returning to normal will be gradual and so many businesses will go down not just because of being on shaky ground to begin but also due to altered habits. Will movie theaters rebound as more people than ever have grown comfortable with at home entertainment?
1 person likes this
@porwest (78759)
• United States
9 Apr 20
@JohnRoberts There is definitely a lot there, and you are right. Even though I see a silver lining, I also do think it will take a while. The strong will survive. Not going to be easy for any of these businesses. Not hardly. But I think it will take more than a pandemic to kill American business prowess and know how. Many companies survive by adapting. Those who do not fail or become smaller entities. Maybe that is not such a bad thing.
1 person likes this
@LindaOHio (157041)
• United States
9 Apr 20
I guess that we shall see what we shall see. There are some businesses that aren't going to make it. Of that I'm certain. Time will tell what shape our economy is in at the end of all of this. I'm hoping it's all good news.
2 people like this
@LindaOHio (157041)
• United States
11 Apr 20
@porwest Yup. A lot of these smaller enterprises do not have the cash to survive a prolonged shutdown. Sad.
1 person likes this
@porwest (78759)
• United States
11 Apr 20
Unfortunately the ones who will be hit the hardest in all of this are the mom and pops. Little shops, bars, restaurants... I feel for these people. They may not even be the best paying jobs for some people, but we need all the jobs we can offer in this world, and I don't necessarily like the idea of all of the bigger companies dominating the mom and pops. I am not against it. I just think in a strong economy there is room for businesses of all sizes an I think it is important for competition to also be strong.
1 person likes this
@porwest (78759)
• United States
12 Apr 20
@LindaOHio No. They don't. Sadly some of them might already be deciding to close for good. We just don't known about them yet. When things are allowed to open, it will be interesting to see who actually reopens and how long they last after they do. Because like I have said many times, even if people can go into restaurants again... Only about 25% might, at least in the beginning. People, I don't think, will return to full on normal right away.
1 person likes this
@GardenGerty (157661)
• United States
9 Apr 20
I am one of those people that although not working, still have my check and benefits. That is what the school district says. Normally I struggle in the summer. This year, even if I do not find other work for June and July the stimulus check will help us carry through.I am behind due to hubby have lots of medical bills the last five years. I ended up putting a lot on credit cards. So yes, my money will just go back into the economy. It will help me play "catch up."
2 people like this
@porwest (78759)
• United States
11 Apr 20
You are in one of those kinds of jobs that what you should be doing is stretching out your paychecks so that they cover the whole year. I thought that teachers (I am assuming you are a teacher) could opt to have their salaries drawn for the full year at reduced amounts monthly.
@m_audrey6788 (58482)
• Germany
9 Apr 20
You got a point
1 person likes this
@porwest (78759)
• United States
14 Apr 20
Thank you. Much appreciated.
1 person likes this
@amadeo (111948)
• United States
9 Apr 20
Good morning Jim.Yes lets hope that it does get stronger.We need this
2 people like this
• India
8 Jul 20
Plus every spender has to put a stop on spending on temporary luxuries such as restaurant visit on weekends, extra clothes and things that we never use. This situation has reminded people that resources must be used wisely.
1 person likes this
@porwest (78759)
• United States
10 Jul 20
I always say save on the things you need so you can better afford to spend on the things you want.
• India
10 Jul 20
@porwest a minor difference in words but a major difference on the pocket.
1 person likes this
@msdivkar (23359)
• India
9 Apr 20
Nicely compiled but I stand to disagree. What is doing well at the moment is consumer and pharmaceutical industry. With all other manufacturing closed that is bound to affect the economy. With stock markets all over down more than 20% from its peak, shows that economy has already gone to recession zone. All automobile industry, tourism and hospitality industry along with many others have gone to the dumps and the recovery is not in the site. The money that we see today all come from government reserves which has put a big dent on the economy.
1 person likes this