Is the Jump in Gold Price Really That Impressive?
By Jim Bauer
@porwest (109244)
United States
October 11, 2025 9:25am CST
The short answer is no. It is not. Sure, you can go by the idea that had you bought one ounce of gold in 1980, you'd have paid $600 for it, and now it's worth $4,000 or more.
Nice gain, right?
Not really when you keep in mind that gold has no compounding value when it comes to what it is worth. Had someone taken that same $600 and invested it purely into the S&P 500 in 1980, with dividends reinvested, that $600 would now be worth $106,000.
Far more than the 45-year gain of $3,400 gold saw.
That's not to say gold, or precious metals, don't have a place in one's overall portfolio. But what you are buying when you do buy precious metals is safety. Not growth. And there's a big difference. So, is it really an "investment?" Kinda sorta. Most people don't buy precious metals to "invest" in future financial interest. They buy it because regardless of what national currencies do, it will always have value beyond it.
Nobody ever got rich buying precious metals and holding onto them, is my point. That only comes from investment into things that grow exponentially and have the ability to be compounded.
If you could buy an ounce of gold and that one ounce was now 10 ounces, you'd make money. But that doesn't happen.
There's one other thing to consider here. Inflation. The average inflation in the United States for the past 90 years has been 3.24%. So, the real profit, adjusted for inflation is not actually $3,400. It's only $1,567.60, meaning sitting side by side the guy who invested his $600 in the S&P 500, he's $104,432.40 ahead of you.
4 people like this
3 responses
@LindaOHio (203277)
• United States
12 Oct
I know what you're saying; but I'm still impressed with the gain gold has made.
1 person likes this
@LadyDuck (484948)
• Italy
11 Oct
Even without investing in the S&P, in 1980 the US$ paid the 20% interest overnight and it was easy to invest getting a 18% return on your capital over the year. This situation lasted several years. Calculate how much $ 100,000 could become after 5 years investing every month adding the earned interests. A lot more than the gold made.
1 person likes this
@porwest (109244)
• United States
12 Oct
I will do the math, but give me some time, because I have a lot to account for here. I am assuming what you are saying is, what if you invested $100,000 in gold in 1980, what would it be worth today, and if I invested $100,000 in the S&P 500 in 1980 what would that be worth today with interest compounded and funds reinvested.
You have given me a LOT to chew on here, but I will do it. Might take me a bit, like I said. Lots of data to get through and lots of math as well. lol
I LOVE this stuff though, so I am willing to do it.
1 person likes this
@LadyDuck (484948)
• Italy
12 Oct
@porwest - We had clients who wanted to keep their money "almost" cash, it was necessary for their business. We invested the money overnight, or at short term, like one week or one month. The interests paid were very high in the 80s. Every time we place the money we added the interest. When the French voted in 1981 and feared a "communist" President, the French Franc paid 189% during that weekend. So we converted the money to French Francs, invested during 3 days, everything went well and our clients made a lot of money that weekend.
@moffittjc (125940)
• Gainesville, Florida
12 Oct
I’ve never been a fan of investing in precious metal. Like you said, it’s more for safety than investing. But great information to pass on to the public at large.
