Predicting the Future?

United States
August 4, 2009 6:10am CST
I wrote an article over a year ago about Banks in a Crisis = Are We in a Recession? Looking back at a year ago, I think most of us were much better off financially than we are today. I think fewer people were unemployed, pay rates were slightly higher perhaps.... Food prices might have also been slightly cheaper. I am not sure about the gas. On the same note, interest rates kept falling, banks were in trouble (before the infamous bailouts!), and people were beginning to get laid off. http://www.associatedcontent.com/article/903445/banks_in_crisis_are_we_in_a_depression.html?cat=9 Over the last few days it seems as though the stock market has been rising a bit, but I am not getting my hopes up. I am picking up a second job and hoping to save just a little extra, as much as possibly actually, to be sure I am safe no matter what happens. Hopefully the economy will recover. What are your thoughts and views?
3 people like this
10 responses
@sarojInc (570)
• India
4 Aug 09
Hi beth ,thats a really good prediction as you were right in your calculation.I feel this is the time of crisis for all humans .And I'm sure a really good and positive outcome will be achieved.Lets hope for the best!
1 person likes this
• United States
4 Aug 09
I am keeping my fingers crossed! Thanks and best wishes!
@oscar6 (1938)
• United States
17 Jun 11
I think that we are still in very tough times. The unemployment rate is crazy right now in america. People keep saying that its going to go down but it doesnt seem to be going down at a very fast rate. I feel really sad for those that have lost thier jobs due to the economy. Those families are suffering because of our economy.
1 person likes this
@carpenter5 (6782)
• United States
8 Nov 09
You are very smart in doing what you can to save money. My husband lost his job in June. We would have been in really big trouble financially if we hadn't been saving for years for our retirement! Of course, we are still way off from a retirement, but it has come in handy to keep our house, pay for utilities and buy groceries.
1 person likes this
@hotsummer (13835)
• Philippines
5 Aug 09
yea, it seem that US is worst compared last year. and sad to see things are not getting better . it is affecting not only this country but other country's as well. as it seems that the world's economy is easily affected by the economy of this country. and every body gets worried when news like this about how bad the economy is going.
1 person likes this
• India
19 Aug 09
Hello my friend Bethany1202 Ji, I think peak hours of recession is over and economy is returning but things in my country are very high. They have not dropped. bank rates have fallen down and even now going down only. Pulses/sugar are very high, just it is touching 100% than one year back. For me also, this recession may not effect. But i am littele worried about daily wages labourer etc. May God bless You and have a great time.
1 person likes this
@Ruby722 (796)
• China
5 Aug 09
Hi there We all know that the financial crisis affect many country and company some people lost their job it's a very sad thing.I hope this part can be passed earlier.As your said Hopefully the economy will recover and hope you predicting become the ture have a good day!
1 person likes this
@suspenseful (40193)
• Canada
4 Aug 09
I think part of the problem was that they started to convert grain fields from food to ethanol, and that took much of the wheat, and corn out of circulation. On top of that, because of the environmentalists, much of the oil was capped and so America had to import oil and gas to fulfill their needs from foreign and often hostile nations who charged an arm and a leg. (It does get cold in North Dakota and Alaska and places like that.) As for the 'free' checks, you still have to purchase the checks, and that means they are not exactly free. And we cannot just charge fees on everything in the bank, or you might as well put the money in a mattress. Charge on certain items, like when taking out a loan, nsf checks, searching through checks, getting a paper statement, etc. but not on every check you write. As for the reason the recession is happening, I think the trouble started when they started to give loans to people based on ethnic and race rather then on ability to pay and also when because down there you get our mortgage interest rate deductible, people bought house they could not afford. All these combined to make the recession as it was. Now in Canada, we have free checking (we still have to buy the checkbooks) for seniors, but it is not across the board. It would have been better that way.
@dvmurphy (326)
• United States
5 Aug 09
ethanol is made from a certain part of the grain but the edible part of the grain is still used as feed for livestock. Also northern states are also cold during winter like Iowa, Nebraska, the Dakotas, Mennesota, Michigan, etc. As for our banks in wasn't just ethnic and race that caused the problem. Banks were greedy and lets face it they had the same reasoning that most businesses do, they assume that if you dont make your payment they will repossess (foreclose) and just resell the property. Even the banks didn't forsee the grand scale it turned in to. As for not being able to make the payment, well that is because some of the buyers did not understand how the payment could be affected by percentage bouncing up and down. One month your payment is $500 and the next it may be over $700. The rise in unemployment also contributed. Try paying your mortgage when you just lost your job, you didn't have mortgage insurance, and at the beginning of this mess there was no help for many who were finding themselves foreclosed on and evicted. As for banking, we do have banks who offer free checking, online banking, online bill paying, overdraft protection, etc. It is hard to pay bills in America when you are unemployed. It is hard to find work in America when our industries have moved to foreign soil for cheaper labor costs. As Americans we need to wake up and rebuild our nation, bring back our industry, put our people back to work and work on our countries problems.
1 person likes this
@suspenseful (40193)
• Canada
2 Jan 10
I think one problem that Americans have is that they make mortgage interest tax deductible and that leads to people buying houses they cannot afford. I do think there is a race interest in this sub prime loan fiasco they had. If you are poor you cannot afford to buy a house. That is what we understood here in Canada. If you did not make a certain income, you were not qualified unless you were able to get a large down payment or work on Habitat for Humanity and in Canada, it did not matter if you were white, Native Canadian, Chinese, AFrican or what not. But in the States they turned it into a race thing, so it was assumed you could not buy a house because you were black and therefore since saying that made the banks racists, that was a bad thing so loan officers were forced to approve those blacks for housing loans and it did not matter if that black family made $40,000 a year or $5,000 a year, they had to give them the loans. Also another mistake was that people figured if they got a flexible mortgage, that they could get a house at a cheaper rate, but what happened is that one year the mortgage was 2 percent and they paid so much, but the next year, the mortgage was 5 percent and that meant they would lose their house. Best idea? SAve for a large downpayment, look for a house that is at the most 30 percent of your monthly income to pay on principal and interest, and get a fixed rate mortgage, pay biweekly rather tben monthly. And pretend that the mortgage interest is not tax deductible. Oh as for the ethanol thing, sure the animals can eat the straw, but what about the people. And thanks for the best response.
@greenline (14838)
• Canada
4 Aug 09
Many countries are effected by the recession, and are certainly trying very hard to recover. They seem to be doing quite well and I think making good progress to bring back the economy on to recovery. There are a number of sectors which play an important role in the matter,one of them being the oil&gas and the energy sector. This has impact on the upstream as well as the downstream sectors again.
1 person likes this
@Pose123 (21635)
• Canada
4 Aug 09
Hi Bethany, I believe that we will recover but I just hope that we will learn from the mistakes of the past. There has to be tighter controls or we'll be back in the same situation. It still bothers me that the banks and others large corporations would come to the government asking for bailouts while paying their CEO's and other executives such outrageous salaries and bonuses. Blessings.
1 person likes this
@kenraku (241)
• Australia
4 Aug 09
Although H1N1 has broken-out, I doesn't make big changes to the market. I guess it is now pretty much to be safe. The problem is it takes how long to recover. Maybe few years or decades? God bless:D Enjoy myLotting.