Clinton's Lead In PA Shrinks1
By anniepa
@anniepa (27955)
United States
April 9, 2008 2:58am CST
Hillary Clinton's lead in the polls for the Pennsylvania primary, once thought to be insurmountable for Barack Obama, is now almost non-existent as it's now narrowed to a small 5 percentage points down from 15 points a months ago.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/pennsylvania/pennsylvania_democratic_presidential_primary
I've thought predictions of a huge victory for Hillary in the Keystone State weren't such a sure thing all along and now I'm being proven correct. So, fellow Pennsylvanians and other interested voters, what do you think? Is it actually possible that Obama will pull this big one out?
Annie
1 person likes this
4 responses
@irisheyes (4370)
• United States
9 Apr 08
Well, fellow Pennsylvanian, I don't know but I think Hillary still has a shot at it. The thing about Pennsylvania is that it has tricky demographics. The largest city (Philadelphia) has a large black polulation that is expected to break big for Obama but the African American mayor of that city is strongly supporting Hillary and that lessen the victory. Many of the suburbs around Philadelphia are wealthy, educated areas and that is a voting block that has been going to Obama. However, outside Philly, those suburbs are often largely Catholic and Jewish and those voters favor Mrs. Clinton. This is just the area I'm from but I think with the increase in registrations across the state there are bound to be a lot of other surprises. I don't think either candidate can let their guard down. It's a mine field but at least it's not boring.
1 person likes this
@irisheyes (4370)
• United States
10 Apr 08
I definitely agree with you on the college student vote and I would also agree on the Casey endorsement if it were not for the Obama statement regarding abortion and an unwanted pregnancy. Both candidates are pro-choice but Obama really threw down the gauntlet and those Casey Dems are mostly working class Catholics. Also, Casey is likely to regret that endorsement if it costs him the support of the ASFME union. McEntee and his people were supporting Clinton and they are furious that Casey didn't even give them a heads up. It's not nice to offend the powerful labor union that helped you get elected. Never a dull moment in Pa politics. LOL
1 person likes this
@irisheyes (4370)
• United States
11 Apr 08
Right you are and I stand corrected.
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@anniepa (27955)
• United States
10 Apr 08
It sure isn't boring! You're so right, our state is a tough one to figure out. I agree Hillary still has a very good shot at winning but it seemed like it was assumed she'd win Pa. by a tremendous margin and now I don't think that's going to happen. A couple things I think work in Obama's favor are the huge number of newly registered voters and the fact that many of them are college students from the large number of colleges in the state. I never pay much attention to endorsements and I don't think many people do, but I think Bob Casey's support for Obama may have a little more impact than usual, especially in my part of the state.
Annie
1 person likes this
@rodney850 (2145)
• United States
9 Apr 08
Just a quick note, Annie,According to some of the local polls, instead of the national, ones Hillary is shown to be regaining some of the ground she lost in the past couple of weeks. So I guess it's just which ones you feel are more credible or at least right more times than not!
@anniepa (27955)
• United States
9 Apr 08
The poll I referred to here is for Pa. only. I know, if you look at all the different polls they're all over the place but according to some this one is usually more accurate than most. None of them are carved in stone since people can either not tell the truth or change their minds once they get into the voting booth.
Annie
@stephcjh (38473)
• United States
28 Jul 08
I think it is very possible that Obama can pull this one off. I think he might consider Hillary to be his confidant though. I think that would work out really well. they both deserve to hold a place in office. I think they could both work together and help to turn this country back around. I sure hope so.
@anniepa (27955)
• United States
9 Apr 08
Hon, I'm not trying to change your mind and I certainly respect your opinion - I think you know that - but I feel I have to defend that remark Obama made. He admitted he could have chosen better wording but I know where he was coming from with that comment. His daughters are very young right now and I think he was imagining of one of them became pregnant at a very young age because they hadn't been informed of the consequences and how to protect themselves, thus he said he didn't want them to be "punished with a baby". He didn't mean to call a baby "punishment" but to say having a baby for a teenager is a burden that should be prevented. See, I'm not sure I found the right words either...lol! What I'm trying to say is I hope you don't base your vote solely on one sentence that could have been put a little better but still basically made sense.
Annie
