Trump Blows Iowa Out of the Park
By Jim Bauer
@porwest (112864)
United States
January 16, 2024 7:22am CST
By mathematical measure, it could easily be said that it was a no-contest race with former President Donald Trump winning by around 51% of the Iowa caucus. Governor DeSantis took a distant second place and Haley came in third close to DeSantis.
Depending on the results of New Hampshire on the 23rd, which I believe Trump will also win by a large margin, I think Haley be the next to drop out of the race.
Ramaswamy has already ended his bid and endorsed Trump.
It should be noteworthy that Trump's Iowa victory is a record victory, and he did it with rather low voter turnout due to the cold winter temperatures. Had turnout been similar to turnout norms, his margin of victory may have been a few points higher.
While it is only one primary, it seems to be a strong indicator of things to come simply be sheer numbers. Even if future primaries would only deliver half the margin that Iowa did, he still wins by double digits against his closest rival Ron DeSantis.
I think without question, the GOP nominee is already decided and the primaries will simply serve as a formality.
10 people like this
7 responses
@moffittjc (128837)
• Gainesville, Florida
16 Jan 24
I think most of us with at least half a brain can easily see that he is going to be the nominee. Like you said, the primaries are just a formality.
1 person likes this

@moffittjc (128837)
• Gainesville, Florida
20 Jan 24
@porwest It's going to be very embarrassing to DeSantis when Trump wins Florida.
1 person likes this
@porwest (112864)
• United States
20 Jan 24
@moffittjc Oh man. Yeah. And I think he could. It will be interesting to see how turnout fares in New Hampshire next week and how Haley does. I'd like to see Trump continue to carry better than 50% there, but who knows? Either way, I think he wins New Hampshire and continues to maintain a strong margin over DeSantis.
I originally said if Haley comes in third in New Hampshire she may drop out, but she seems to be upping her game, so maybe she won't even if she DOES come in third again.
1 person likes this

@marguicha (230350)
• Chile
16 Jan 24
The US politics are worrying me. It is happenning in many places in the world. Two strong parties, one too far into the right and another one to the left. In my country, I voted against a candidate instead of for one. The comunist candidate was too strong.
In Argentina a rather insane man won because people were tired of a long time of peronism. Now, only a month after he was elected, there are strikes.
In Argentina a rather insane man won because people were tired of a long time of peronism. Now, only a month after he was elected, there are strikes.1 person likes this
@porwest (112864)
• United States
9 Feb 24
Many people do not realize it, mainly because 1) they don't pay attention and 2) they really don't know what their positions are, but Trump is more center than left or right. Biden is extreme left. Trump's border security stance, for example, is an old Democrat position. His belief that the US should not police other nations is a Democrat position. His stance that age limits should not be raised, and that Social Security should not be tampered with is a Democrat position. His opposition to the Iraq war was a Democrat position. His America first protectionist stance is a Democrat position. I could go on and on and on.
1 person likes this
@marguicha (230350)
• Chile
10 Feb 24
@porwest My problem with Trump has more to do with is personality.
1 person likes this
@porwest (112864)
• United States
12 Feb 24
@marguicha That is entirely your choice. Of course, I have a suspicion you don't know what his actual policies are if you are making that your issue. But of course, you have no obligation to discuss it with me. We all have our opinions and are entitled to them.
1 person likes this

@FourWalls (86778)
• United States
16 Jan 24
Well, it also means, mathematically, that half the Republicans in Iowa did NOT vote for him. If that trend continues, it’ll be a blowout, all right….for Biden.
He has way too much baggage and is far too polarizing. The goal of the GOP SHOULD be to give us a candidate who is appealing to all of the Republicans and a lot of Democrats, independents, and uncommitted voters, NOT to see how many people will vote for someone else because “He’s NOT that guy.” (You know, like the way people voted in 2016 because “he’s not Hillary”…)
I do not see him winning the election, should he get the nomination. And the sad thing is, we (registered Republicans) could pull a Barney Fife and “nip it in the bud!!!!!!!” right now by selecting someone else in the primaries. This was just the first one, and I hope that does happen.
1 person likes this
@porwest (112864)
• United States
9 Feb 24
I don't get the "polarizing" thing sometimes that Trump gets accused of. I mean, what IS the opposition is the question?
Trump is more center than right or left. And I think that should be more clear to people than it is. MANY of his positions ACTUALLY lean to the Democrat side interestingly enough.
His America first protectionist stance, for example. That's a Democrat position. His opposition to the Iraq war. That is a Democrat position. His disinterest in the U.S. policing other nations. That is also a Democrat position. His strong belief that Social Security should be shored up and promises kept to the American people without raising age limits etcetera...it's a Democrat position. His border security stance is a position Democrats held until Trump made it a primary part of his campaign. Border security was ALWAYS a Democrat position.
And then there are his accomplishments during his term which people flatly ignore or deny. Black, Hispanic and women unemployment levels were at HISTORICAL lows. The poverty rate fell. Better trade deals were negotiated. Median income rose. The stock market rose 56%.
I mean, at some point I think all of this "Trump's a bad guy" stuff is just something that has been fueled by hatred and the media. I don't think there is any real basis for any of it.
Sure, one can say he was brash. People can say he talked too much and sometimes said unpleasant things. Sure, he tweeted too much, and a lot of those tweets were undesirable. Maybe his personality wasn't the greatest.
But did he get the job done? Yes. Did he have great accomplishments? Yes. Did many of his policies work? Yes. Were we better off under Trump than after eight years of Obama? Yes. Were we better off during Trump's term than during Biden's? Yes. Were we safer? Yes.
As for your assessment of Iowa, his win in Iowa from a percentage win is a record. So, he got a higher percentage of Republican votes than any other primary candidate in history. Isn't THAT something to take note of?
The story of Trump as it is told by the media and by people who dislike him is pure fantasy. The "danger" or "threat" he imposes if he is elected is all fiction.
And what about his primary message is bad? Love and respect your country. Respect and uphold the Constitution. Foster law and order. Support the police and the military. Stand for the anthem. Take care of our veterans. Admire and be proud of American exceptionalism.
I mean, I just don't get it.
@dgobucks226 (37621)
•
20 Jan 24
I think Hailey will fight on after N.H. She is supported by the old guard Rhinos of the party. Lots of money from those donors there to keep her going. And she will say or do anything for that continued support.
DeSantis is another story. Even with his 2nd place finish in Iowa, he has gotten bad advice from the start, and has run a poor campaign. It is not his time. He should throw his support to Trump, before he ruins his political future.
1 person likes this
@porwest (112864)
• United States
21 Jan 24
DeSantis actually surprised me a bit how bad a campaign he has run. I thought early on he would have done much better, and he certainly had a lot of support and popularity from a successful governorship. I was watching some commentary yesterday that suggested Haley may get the 2nd place spot in New Hampshire, so even though I am sure Trump still takes the win, it will be interesting nonetheless to see how the other two actually fare.
Turnout will be interesting as well and how that relates to the percentages since there has been so much said about low turnout contributing to higher numbers for Trump.
1 person likes this
@dgobucks226 (37621)
•
21 Jan 24
@porwest DeSantis I believe has given up on NH and moved on to SC primary. I would expect he would appeal more in the South anyway. He is just swallowed up in the charisma that is "Trump." Trump casts to big a shadow and DeSantis is dwarfed by it.
Trump has reshaped the Republican Party, and I just can't see why those Rhinos keep fighting it. The infighting only helps the Democrats. The Republicans need to focus on the General Election and the Dems. The sooner they all get out and support President Trump the better their chances in November.
1 person likes this
@porwest (112864)
• United States
22 Jan 24
@dgobucks226 And now, in a shocking twist, DeSantis has dropped out of race before the NH primary and endorsed Trump. I did not see that coming. lol
1 person likes this

@2ndchances24 (12234)
• Cloverdale, Indiana
16 Jan 24
I watched it last night & I would say
he has this in the bag HANDS DOWN1 person likes this
@porwest (112864)
• United States
18 Jan 24
I hate to use the term shoo-in, but I really think it is exactly that. The general is still up in the air, of course. Who knows what happens there? But I think he's got a good shot at being back in the White House and the more that the left messes with him, the more popular he gets. I don't see the left stopping either, so he will just get more and more popular the closer we get to election day, I think.
1 person likes this
@porwest (112864)
• United States
18 Jan 24
@2ndchances24 The left doesn't see a lot of things, which is why all of their ideas turn out to be disasters.
1 person likes this
@2ndchances24 (12234)
• Cloverdale, Indiana
18 Jan 24
@porwest That's what I'm seeing too
it just goes to show HOW STUPID the
left REALLY is to NOT see that. 

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