Sorry, Righties, Virginia Gubernatorial Race NOT a Referendum On President Obama  |
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Sure, the GOP candidate for governor in Virginia is certain to win but that state has elected a governor from the opposite party of the President in every election for over 30 years! It's just what they do. Also, the turnout has been dismal, especially when compared to last year's Presidential election and the young voters and the minorities have simply not come out this year, something else that's quite typical of off-year elections.
It's not even really a referendum on the right! Bob McDonnell is far-right socially as his mater's thesis from 20 years ago shows, but he downplayed that completely during his campaign and has run more as a moderate. He even said "Thanks but no thanks" to Sarah Palin's offer of stomping for him. She did record a "robo call" but it never even mentioned the candidate or the party by name.
Then there's the sad but true fact that the Democrat, Deeds, ran a lousy campaign and wasn't a good candidate at all. Reportedly, the voters were turned off by his negative ads pretty much from the start.
Anyway, don't celebrate too much just yet...lol!!
Annie
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1. sierras236 (495) | 2 months ago | This post contains content of a mature nature. You must be Signed in or Registered to have the option to view this content.
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anniepa (9252) | 2 months ago | I can't speak for anyone else but when I decide who to vote for on the state level it has nothing to do with who did or didn't come to campaign for which candidates. New Jersey has problems, they've had problems for years regardless of who's President or who's "running" Washington D.C. Way back when, Governor Whitman bragged about lowering state income taxes but that only resulted in property taxes going through the roof, which they still are. My brother lives in New Jersey and he's happy with Obama for the most part but he's never been thrilled with Corzine.
ALL President go and campaign for members of their party who are running for election or reelection. Maybe they shouldn't do it but the fact is it's been done for decades.
By the way, what's your take on the NY 23rd electing the first Democrat since the Civil War despite the involvement of Sarah Palin, Glenn Beck and others on the right who endorsed the Conservative Party candidate?
Annie
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sierras236 (495) | 2 months ago | You still have to look at the fact that President Obama went there five times to campaign for this guy. What this is showing is an overall revolt to the current administration. I have a feeling a lot of incumbents are going to be voted out this year. All that influence and President Obama still couldn't inspire the people to vote for the wrong choice for their state.
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sierras236 (495) | 2 months ago | I want to add when I say administration, I mean all government administrations vice just President Obama's.
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2. MrNiceGuy (2996) | 2 months ago | A win is a win... Its obvious to me that it won't be long before everyone realizes how big of a mistake voting for Obama was. Everyone already is...
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anniepa (9252) | 2 months ago | Not quite everyone...in fact, not even anywhere near ALMOST everyone...lol!
Annie
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3. kennyrose (4056) | 2 months ago | landslide win for mcdonald 67% to 37%
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anniepa (9252) | 2 months ago | It's McDonnell, not McDonald, Rose, and the margin I last heard was more like 59% to 41%.
Annie
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4. Taskr36 (4620) | 2 months ago | I agree with you.... BUT, if they'd elected a democrat, I think you'd be singing a much different tune. Frankly I'm surprised McDonnell won. He was a pretty horrible candidate. If I lived in that state I would have been sorely disappointed with my options.
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anniepa (9252) | 2 months ago | Well, Taskr, as we all know "hindsight is 20/20" but I really don't think I would be singing a different tune! I really don't think off-year gubernatorial elections have the much to do with the President or even with what's going on in Washington. Remember 1994 when the Republicans made such huge gains in the first midterm elections after President Clinton took office? Well, my state of Pennsylvania was one of many states that switched from a Democratic to a Republican Governor when Tom Ridge was elected. Clinton had maintained his high approval ratings throughout this time in Pa. but the truth was Ridge ran an excellent campaign as a moderate.
When Governor Rendell was elected Governor here during Bush's Presidency I didn't really think of it as a repudiation of Bush's policies but as evidence that the people of my state were ready for a change here.
Anyway, I think I agree that the choices were pretty bad in Virginia. I didn't follow it extremely closely but from what I do know I don't think I'd have been happy to vote for either candidate. Deeds was a horrible candidate, I remember thinking that when he won the primary.
Annie
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Taskr36 (4620) | 1 month ago | "Well, Taskr, as we all know "hindsight is 20/20" but I really don't think I would be singing a different tune!"
Your post on the NY congressional election proved my point Annie. You're simply trying to downplay GOP victories while acting as though the ONE victory for democrats was a big deal. Frankly that was the most inconsequential race going on yesterday. It only got attention because of the independent candidate.
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5. thegreatdebater (1037) | 2 months ago | I agree Annie, this is another example of the power, or lack there of, of Sara Palin. It will be very interesting to see what happens in upstate New York, that could make Palin 0 for 2
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xfahctor (5470) | 2 months ago | So would this make Obama 1 for 3?
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anniepa (9252) | 2 months ago | I guess some might say she helped the first Democrat in 150 years take that district!
Annie
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xfahctor (5470) | 2 months ago | ...or that he helped Jersey and Virginia LOSE a democrat in the state house annie. the funny thing about spin, is it goes both clockwise AND counter clockwise, but it can't go both ways at once.
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xfahctor (5470) | 2 months ago | oops, miss read your comment annie, my bad. Last point still works though.
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anniepa (9252) | 2 months ago | Thanks, X, I said "SOME might say...". I agree, the spin can't go both ways. That's ALL it is that's going on now, spin by both sides. Everyone's going to read into the results whatever they want to anyway, right?
Annie
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thegreatdebater (1037) | 2 months ago | Very true X, but Obama isn't the golden child anymore, that is Palin now. And she supported one candidate that lost, and one that won said "thanks, but no thanks" to her. Sounds like life out of Alaska isn't what she thought it would be.
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6. ParaTed2k (4586) | 2 months ago | I only count races as anything about Obama if Obama took a direct role in the campaign. Apparently his backing doesn't mean much this time around though. You're right about Virginia though, if the outcome was pretty much what was expected, then there's no way to say who may or may not have had an effect.
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anniepa (9252) | 2 months ago | Ted, I realize many here won't believe me but I've always been of the opinion that the pundits make much too much of these off year elections and the connection they have to whomever happens to be in power at the time. When the people of my state chooses a governor, we do so based on what's going on in Pennsylvania at that moment and whether or not we've been happy with the current STATE government. I'd love to know what the reaction would have been from the right if Deeds HAD won in Virginia, becoming the first governor in that state since the eighties of the same party as the President; would they have been giving Obama the credit for that? I doubt it and I don't think it would have been warranted.
Annie
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7. Rollo1 (1613) | 2 months ago | Well, you pretty much have to discount it as being unimportant, don't you? Just like Obama, who dismissed the notion that any of these races meant anything by saying he wouldn't even watch election results. They're going to need a lot of spin in 2010, I hope you're up to it.
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ParaTed2k (4586) | 2 months ago | Funny, the ones he helped with personally were important enough for him to donate his time and political clout. lol
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anniepa (9252) | 2 months ago | I know it will be here before we know it, but 2010 is still a year away and a lot could happen between now and then! Of course I'm up to it, I've been through it a dozen times.
I don't "have to" discount anything as "unimportant", I was simply stating the facts. One of those facts is that Virginia has a long history of electing a governor from the opposite party of the President. We both know that both sides spin everything to look good for themselves. Of course, had the Democrats won in all of the major elections held yesterday there would be some pundits on TV today boasting how that was a referendum on the great job President Obama was doing, ya-da-ya-da... They wouldn't have been right either! The latest figure I've heard is that according to exit polls one in six voters said their vote had anything to do with the President and among them they were pretty much split down the middle when it came to whether they were voting to show their support or disapproval.
Annie
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8. xfahctor (5470) | 2 months ago | Yes, your right, it isn't. Obama wasn't running, neither was Palin, so it's not really a referendum on anyone but the Democrats in Virginia. I don't really know much about virginia's situation, but I am going to figure the voters didn't like waht was going on or how the show was being run, so they cahanged management, and the management before wasn't Obama.
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anniepa (9252) | 2 months ago | What I've been hearing since last night - and I realize this is just "spin" but I think much of it makes sense - is that the two GOP Governor-Elects both ran very positive campaigns and that they both ran as "center-right" candidates. Also, the exit polls showed about the same thing in both states, that less than 20% of the voters questioned said their vote had anything to do with Obama either way but of those who said it had, it was split down the middle between the positive and negative. Then there's the usual fact of low turnout in off-year elections. For whatever reason, Obama's "base" stayed home. Since many of them are young, often first-time voters, my guess would be that they simply weren't paying much attention this time around.
Annie
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9. astonysh (1824) | 2 months ago | Hi Annie,
maybe I should not be sticking my nose in American politics, as I am not American.
The problem with the two party system anywherein the world is what happens when one party totally fouls things up, the other lot come into power and do just as badly - what happens then? Round and round the circle goes .... There is going to be an election in the UK (my native country) next year. With Labour things are going very badly. The Tories will win by default. The reason I left the UK in the first place was things were in such a bad state (the Tories had been in power for years at that point incidentally). I do not expect things to improve. Which is better, one lot of incompetents or the others?
My view on the American elections this week is that unemployment looks like a very significant issue. In Bush's last year in power, it rose by 2.5%. In Obama's first year in power, it has risen by another 2% (based on official US Department of Labor stats). That may look better, but not for the people who have lost jobs. Turn-up in New Jersey was very low maybe?
Anyway, at least Obama's honeymoon lasted a year. In Germany where I now live, the most recent opinion polls gave a thumbs down to the current government coalition. The Finance Minister is not seen as competent (he is a law and order expert, not an economist). The economics minister is seen as a complete idiot, and if there were an election tomorrow, the coalition would probably not get voted back. All well and good - the last election was held six weeks ago! That is how long the honeymoon has lasted here!
Tony
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anniepa (9252) | 2 months ago | First of all, as far as I'm concerned you can stick your nose in our politics all you want...lol! Some Americans here may disagree but I feel we're all a part of the Planet Earth and in many ways, as the United States goes so goes the world.
Wow, six weeks sure IS a short honeymoon! Of course, there were some here who started complaining about President Obama in about six DAYS, and that was after he was elected, not after inauguration!
Annie
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10. artistry (564) | 2 months ago | ...Hi annie, For sure, neither is Corzine's loss. It is more like Governor Ed Rendell of Pennsylvania said in an interview, the Governors win or lose on their records. What Christie does in New Jersey will determine his fate at the end of his term as well. McDonnell embraced the center, ran a better campaign, Deeds was out of his element, and thus the result. Very interesting that the Democrat won in the 23rd District Congressional race in New York, but then again the Conservative candidate did not even live in the district, would not answer questions and thus the sensible result in the end. Sometimes the people are the determining factor and not outsiders, not even the President. Which direction the Republicans take will be interesting since they are scattered in all directions, and seem to need a compass, and a harness for Sarah Palin. Take good care.
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anniepa (9252) | 2 months ago | I think my Governor Rendell is absolutely right and so are you; "Sometimes the people are the determining factor and not outsiders," nails it perfectly. You're also right about the Republicans! Who KNOWS which direction they'll take between now and 2010, not to mention 2012!
Annie
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