War between US Allies and Iran

@ParaTed2k (22940)
Sheboygan, Wisconsin
October 8, 2009 8:53am CST
On a scale of 1-10 (ten being absolutely), what do you think the chances are that the allies of the US and Iran will be at war? I think this is one of the things that Prs. Obama truly believes he can avoid with nothing more than his charm and charisma. I also think his supporters think the same thing. This attitude can only end one of two ways. It can work, and Obama can talk Iran down from the edge of the cliff, or it can fail. Failure means one of two things. Either Prs. Obama becomes convinced that it isn't working, and acts to prevent Iran from weaponizing their nuclear material before it's too late. The other outcome is all out war with Iran. So I think we're around 9, it isn't absolute, but it doesn't look good either.
2 people like this
15 responses
@sierras236 (2739)
• United States
8 Oct 09
I really think it is already too late. This soft stuff doesn't work with Iran. I don't know when the war between Israel and Iran is going to happen but it will happen. I don't think at this point there is anything short of military intervention that will stop Iran. The only ones who can stop Iran is Iran itself and that effort clearly failed. I really think President Obama is out of options. We already know we can't talk to them and we can't sanction them, so unless China and Russia come to their senses, Iran will continue to mock the rest of the world.
1 person likes this
• United States
8 Oct 09
On your scale of 1-10, I would say a definite 10.
1 person likes this
• United States
15 Oct 09
The treatment of its own people is becoming transparent. Iran is also being threatened within itself. Victims will only sit by for so long before they begin to fight back. Eyes are being opened.
@Makro74 (591)
14 Oct 09
With respect, Iran does not 'mock' the world but a couple of victors of WWII who enjoy permanent membership of the UN. Iran only speaks of truths which the US and her allies are reluctant to hear and the very notion that Iran can consider standing up for its values is seen by the US as bigotry. As you rightly point out, China and Russia do not see American foreign stance in the same light and are strong trading partners. And Iran knows it is the last survivor of the Arab world which American imperialism has not controlled. Iraq dared to challenge the West, look at its fate. The Saudi's are in American pockets as are Jordan and Egypt. Syria does not acknowledge Israel largely because it wants the Golan heights back and is called by GWB an 'axis of evil'. Go figure. It is those who stand up to the West which are threatened by the West.
@Rollo1 (16679)
• Boston, Massachusetts
8 Oct 09
Iran's reaction to Obama's "charm" in the early days was more Ahmadinejad's thumbing his nose at the conservatives who didn't care for Obama's lugubrious overtures to dictators. Obama has no more hope of convincing Ahmadinejad than anyone else. The only thing Iran would welcome is the US abandoning Israel. Oh wait, Obama is doing that. If you ask me, Obama has taken steps that guarantee a war in the Middle East. Iran has connections with other unsavory nations around the globe, so it could easily become a world war. Scale of 1 to 10? 10.
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@Makro74 (591)
14 Oct 09
Or, the US could stop being so arrogant and touchy because Iran through out the US puppet regime of the Shah. Iran does not trust the US and does not agree with its foreign policy. It does not believe unequivable support to Israel is fair and necessary. It sees the invasion of Iraq as 'double standards' whilst allowing the suffering of Palestinians under occupation to continue, but go for an oil rich province to kick an 'agressor' out. Iran talks about trade, the US does not play fair, so it trades with China, Russia and othern Eastern countries. Iran has been clever in that it has, unlike other Arab nations, not courted the US for help. For it knows that its fate will be sealed as that of Saddam Hussein. The reason why Iran hasn't been attacked yet - Afghanistan and Iraq have drained the American will, and unlike Iraq and Afghanistan, there are fewer disloyal commanders who will be bribed and give up intelligence to the CIA. The Americans are struggling to strategically map out Iran for military operations. But then again, with GWB, he may have found a way to attack and his scale from 1-10 probably was 8. But with Obama it is more like 2 or 3.
• United States
8 Oct 09
Well personally what I think is going to happen is this. Obama will try to stop them, but be uneffective. The UN will write more stern letters without any back up (par for the course for them). In the end it is up to Iran....I think if htey want them they will get them. I don't see Obama being able to stop them. I don't see the UN being able to either. I don't see either as willing to go to war over it. And talking and sactions is not going to stop them alone. So I see them getting them. And nothing but a lot of grumbling done about it from the rest of th world. Sorry but that is how I see it. I hope to God I am wrong.
@ParaTed2k (22940)
• Sheboygan, Wisconsin
8 Oct 09
I can see that outcome. What do you think will change in the world with a nuclear Iran?
• United States
8 Oct 09
I see things getting bad in the region. Israel will be freaking out. Which they should. Iran has threatened to wipe them off the map. So I see the big problems betweent the two. Nations will pick sides. So one of two things will happen....Iran will nuke Israel....who will probly nuke them right back. The rest of the world would watch in horror and the UN might invade Iran over it. But to be honest I think the UN or the US would simple condemn the actions and then do more sactions. Sad but true. Or Iran will use the fact that it has nukes to make itself taken more seriously in the world. Iran wants to be a world player and leader. THey think by getting nukes and having the simple threat of using them that it will make them one of big boys on the block. To me that is what I see from Iran. They want to be a world player and taken seriously. They seem to think nukes is the way to accomplish it. kinda of a "don't mess with me or I will nuke you" kind of thing.
@thea09 (18305)
• Greece
8 Oct 09
Hi parated, a very interesting choice of words in your introduction there. "Do you think that the allies of the US and Iran will be at war." Simple answer to your question no. It's generally the US which instigate these things rather than its allies, and which allies of Iran do you speak of? I would think it is more likely that the US could possibly end up at war with Iran.
@ParaTed2k (22940)
• Sheboygan, Wisconsin
8 Oct 09
Yeah, when I reread the title, I noticed I should have said, "The US and its Allies". I was trying to include the allies in the equation, since the allies would most likely become part of it sooner or later anyway.
@ParaTed2k (22940)
• Sheboygan, Wisconsin
8 Oct 09
That depends on if other Muslim nations consider a nuclear Iran a threat or an asset to their own security. In the end, it comes down to which outcome the leaders of the nations consider best for themselves. Do you really think the US is the instigator here? Do you consider Iran responsible for any of it?
@thea09 (18305)
• Greece
8 Oct 09
So the US will round up the usual crew, but who do you expect to stand beside Iran? Do you think it will be a case of Muslim states following or keeping their distance from the mullahs.?
@home415 (118)
• United States
8 Oct 09
I am sorry to say that bush did do something good with Iraq they are really close to the US. So they will help if anything goes off. Though if right now we went to war. Then they won't help us. For one reason they are still rebuilding. In 2 to 4 years though they should have there new government set up though to get things running.
@ParaTed2k (22940)
• Sheboygan, Wisconsin
8 Oct 09
Iraq might not be of much help with direct military support, but being able to stage in Iraq would be far greater help.
• United States
9 Oct 09
I doubt that Obama is really relying on his charm to avoid some sort of war between the allies of the two countries. that is like relying on chance and hoping that the war in Iraq comes to an end. With Obama's mediator type strategy of sitting down people and talking to them I think on a scale of 1-10 it would have to be 5 for there to be some sort of conflict. There is some tension but it is not as if the countries have lost all sense of what might be the consequences of their actions. Even though we are at war there are still codes that soldiers are suppose uphold to maintain all form of humanity towards the person that they are fighting. So unless that goes away I doubt any violence will occur.
@ParaTed2k (22940)
• Sheboygan, Wisconsin
9 Oct 09
Iran has a leader that denies the holocaust and has vowed to blow Iran off the map... Tell me again about the "sense of what might be the consequences?" During the election, a lot of Obama supporters said that he would have the charisma to talk the enemies of the US out of being against us. Obama also thought he could sweet talk Congress into doing his bidding.
@Makro74 (591)
21 Oct 09
ted, out of context again, actual quote: 'but is not as if the countries have lost ALL senses of what MIGHT be the consequences of their actions.' Your quote : 'sense of what might be the consequences'. You seem to this alot Ted, paraphrasing to legitimise your stance. I mean 'lost all sense' and 'not as if' are fundamental parts of the poster is saying, yet you choose to omit it in your question. I rest my case because Ahmadinijad actually said 'due to the suffering Israel has inflicted in the region and problem it creates, Israel SHOULD be taken off the map...'. He also has said that Israel removal off the map does not constitute any kind of confrontation, but a reference to the politcal map and the plight of the 1.5million refugees and the suffering of Palestinian life.
@max1950 (2306)
• United States
8 Oct 09
When all things are said and done i think it's going to depend on what or how long Israel is going to put up with Iran's nuclear progress, then lines will be drawn and then we'll see who's backing whom. Obama is an egotist who;s so called charm and repenting on what the U.S. has done is not helping us what - so- ever. oorah
@amitksing (1323)
• India
9 Oct 09
To be practical, I think the chances are just about 1 or 2. As of today, all the countries and people understand the impact and ill effects of wars, so everyone will try to avoid it as much as possible.
@mdvarghese (1789)
• Bangalore, India
9 Oct 09
I will rate it 6 to 8. We can understand the boring of the U.S. without a war. But the capability of obama is doubtful. Once American President got bored, he will declare a war and its allies have to follow them.
@spalladino (17891)
• United States
8 Oct 09
I've gotta agree with you on this one, Ted. Diplomacy and making nice is not, in my opinion, an effective way to deal with a country like Iran. I would prefer that the U.S. took a very strong stand regarding their nuclear program...and intensified it on a regular basis.
@Makro74 (591)
14 Oct 09
And I would argue that the US get rid of its nuclear arsenal as well - for the same reasons as Iran should not have them.
@aerous (13434)
• Philippines
23 Oct 09
I don't think if War with Iran is the option and President Obama will go into war with that country. Their is no peaceful means in that country because President of Iran, is also arrogant and boastful and seems to be not afraid if US and it's allies will go into war....
@sunny68 (1327)
• India
9 Oct 09
i don't think another war is likely. US has to solve Afghanistan and Iraq first. and that will certainly not be an easy task. also the heavy expenses made in these two countries will make US and its allies think twice. Iran also has the support of China and Russia mostly because of their own interests. China wants Iranian oil and Russia/Iran combined have the largest gas reserve and together they can control gas price. so the chances that Iran is attacked is negligible.
• United States
8 Oct 09
10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10! Okay, perhaps not ten because the President might not send in any more troops, and if he doesn't, well then he's an idiot.
@whitf0rd (32)
• United States
8 Oct 09
If we pulled our troops out, we could send every high school graduate to a four year college, completely paid.
@livewyre (2450)
8 Oct 09
I think I would rather opt for something in the region of 6 to 8, so that's a 7 I guess... It's a difficult one to read, I believe Iran is pushing the issue because they believe the 'allies' are too busy in other regions and won't get much public support for another battleground 'over there'.. So, what that tells me is that all this gesturing is just that, gesturing to gain public support for themselves. The danger is that as the incumbent regime in Iran starts to lose it's grip as seems possible from time to time.. They may have to push just a little too far. I think that right now both sides know that there is no real intent to go to war - however things can change and there is always an element of doubt. This is a very different issue to the other regions where Al Kaida is the main target, we will probably find that there are other ways to diffuse this problem without having to resort to a ground battle - you don't have that option with terrorism.